We are in a Recession??? really??
December 1, 2008 by Dusty
According to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) we have been in a recession for a year now.
Gee, no shit? What was the first clue? From the NYT link:
The evidence of a downturn has been widespread for months: slower production, stagnant wages and hundreds of thousands of lost jobs. But the nonpartisan National Bureau of Economic Research, charged with making the call for the history books, waited until now to weigh in.
In a statement released Monday, the members of the group’s Business Cycle Dating Committee – made up of seven prominent economists, most from the academic sector – said that the economy entered a recession in December 2007.
“A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in production, employment, real income, and other indicators,” the members said in a statement. “A recession begins when the economy reaches a peak of activity and ends when the economy reaches its trough.”
The committee noted that the contraction in the labor market began in the first month of 2008 and said that the declines in most major indicators, like personal income, manufacturing activity, retail sales, and industrial production, “met the standard for a recession.”
I think many American’s could of told them we were in a recession a year ago. Especially folks on fixed incomes, or those that were laid off in the construction sector or a host of other American’s that were and still are struggling to make ends meet.
Thanks for the new’s gents and stating the obvious.
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According to Keynes, the root cause of an economic downturns is an insufficient aggregate demand. When the total demand for goods and services declines, businesses throughout the economy see their sales fall off. Lower sales induce firms to cut back production and to lay off workers. Rising unemployment and declining profits further depress demand, leading to a feedback loop with a very unhappy ending.
http://nomedals.blogspot.com
Robert Reich talks about the Keynesianism as well:
http://robertreich.blogspot.com/2008/11/rebirth-of-keynes-and-debate-to-come.html